Bangor NSW Property Investment

Sutherland · 2234 · Score: 64/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.79M
Rental Yield
3.0%
Vacancy Rate
1.6%
Median Weekly Rent
$1050/wk
Median Unit Price
$1.25M
Population
5,536
Days on Market
46 days
Annual Growth
9.0%

Bangor Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$402.94/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$59K
AI Investment Analysis

Bangor NSW Investment Brief

HOLD3.0% gross yield on a $1,790,920 median.

THE MARKET

Bangor has compounded at 6.8%/yr over 5 years — a house that cost $1,288,902 in 2021 is worth $1,790,920 today. Properties are sitting on market for 46 days (roughly balanced conditions). At the same growth rate, today's median reaches $2,488,470 by 2031.

  • Median house: $1,790,920 | Units: $1,251,321
  • Gross yield: 3.0% | Net yield: 1.6%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 6.8%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 5,536 | Owner-occupier rate: 89% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.6% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $1,050/wk | Days on market: 46 (worsening)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $403/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$58,829/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $54,600/yr (comparable — LTR offers simpler management)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Sydney Gateway (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro City & Southwest (Operational)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Sutherland station 3.1km away

BULL CASE

If Bangor maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.1%, median prices could reach $2,059,558 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Bangor pull back 10-15% from $1,790,920, with vacancy rising to 2.9% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
  • Holroyd (NSW): $1,497,415 median, 2.5% yield, 4.2% 1yr growth
  • Berala (NSW): $1,695,375 median, 2.3% yield, 5.1% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Bangor offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.0%.

  • Entry range: $1,611,828$1,970,012
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Pre-gentrification2.5/10
High SEIFA decile — already upgraded or established affluent area
Moderate capital growth (6.8% CAGR)
Outer suburban location (23.7km to CBD) — slower gentrification cycle
Active development pipeline (5667 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
6.5%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
6.0%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
5.2%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 6.8% + 10yr CAGR 7.3%

Growth drivers
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.6%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (5667 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

8 green4 yellow4 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.6 high impact
Days on Market
46 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
1050 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
6.85 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
7.31 high impact
1yr Price Growth
9 medium impact
Population Growth
0.04 high impact
Median Household Income
2743 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
3 medium impact
Public Transport Score
4.6 medium impact
School Zone Quality
5.8 medium impact
Distance to CBD
23.68 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
10 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
89 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.05 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
1.55 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

1,113

2020

1,488

2021

1,323

2022

998

2023

745

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2234

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 10 of 10 — Low disadvantage

Population

30,648

Education (IEO)

9/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Bangor NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $1050/wk median rent for Bangor. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Bangor PS
PrimaryGovernment
7.5/10
Lucas Hts CS
SecondaryGovernment
6.7/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.