Austral NSW Property Investment

Camden · 2179 · Score: 58/100 · Hold

Median House Price
$1.17M
Rental Yield
3.6%
Vacancy Rate
1.7%
Median Weekly Rent
$800/wk
Median Unit Price
$939K
Population
6,847
Days on Market
39 days
Annual Growth
21.6%

Austral Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$486.19/night
Occupancy Rate
40%
Est. Annual Revenue
$71K
AI Investment Analysis

Austral NSW Investment Brief

HOLD3.6% gross yield on a $1,166,985 median.

THE MARKET

Median house price in Austral sits at $1,166,985 with 39 days on market and a 1.7% vacancy rate. This is a tight rental market right now.

  • Median house: $1,166,985 | Units: $939,135
  • Gross yield: 3.6% | Net yield: 2.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: -10.2%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 6,847 | Owner-occupier rate: 70% | Affluence: Very High
  • Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 1.7% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $800/wk | Days on market: 39 (stable)
  • Landlord market — rents likely to keep rising.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $486/night | Occupancy: 40%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$70,984/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $41,600/yr (+71% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • Western Sydney International (Nancy-Bird Walton) Airport (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro - Western Sydney Airport Line (Under Construction)
  • Sydney Metro West (Under Construction)
  • New Intercity Fleet (NSW Trains) (Under Delivery)
  • Transport: Leppington station 2.9km away

BULL CASE

If Austral maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.2%, median prices could reach $1,342,033 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Austral pull back 10-15% from $1,166,985, with vacancy rising to 3.1% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • No significant risk factors identified for this suburb

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • Turners Flat (NSW): $819,000 median, 3.0% yield, 21.3% 1yr growth
  • Canley Vale (NSW): $1,345,042 median, 2.7% yield, 30.0% 1yr growth
  • Austral Eden (NSW): $842,500 median, 3.0% yield, 0.0% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Austral offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a stable phase with low vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.1%.

  • Entry range: $1,050,286$1,283,684
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy staying below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Early gentrification signals4.0/10
Middle-tier SEIFA — moderate gentrification pressure
Above-average capital growth (7.2% CAGR)
Active development pipeline (10386 approvals) — supply attracting new residents

Growth Forecast

medium confidence
1yr Forecast
4.8%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
4.4%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
3.8%
p.a.

Basis: 3yr growth 7.2% (discounted)

Growth drivers
  • +Above-average population growth (1.8%/yr)
  • +Low rental vacancy (1.7%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (10386 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

5 green5 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
1.7 high impact
Days on Market
39 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
800 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
-10.23 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
-7.4 high impact
1yr Price Growth
21.6 medium impact
Population Growth
1.8 high impact
Median Household Income
2224 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
4.7 medium impact
Public Transport Score
0 medium impact
School Zone Quality
6.5 medium impact
Distance to CBD
38.99 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
6 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
70.3 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
3.56 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
2.06 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

2,089

2020

2,459

2021

2,475

2022

1,756

2023

1,607

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2179

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 7 of 10 — Average

Population

16,262

Education (IEO)

7/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

10/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Austral NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $800/wk median rent for Austral. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Austral PS
PrimaryGovernment
6.2/10
John Edmondson HS
SecondaryGovernment
5.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.