Alstonville NSW Property Investment
Lismore · 2477 · Score: 53/100 · Hold
Alstonville Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market
Alstonville NSW Investment Brief
HOLD — 3.7% gross yield on a $1,003,352 median.
THE MARKET
Median house price in Alstonville sits at $1,003,352 with 28 days on market and a 3.0% vacancy rate. This is a tenant-favourable market right now.
- Median house: $1,003,352 | Units: $657,306
- Gross yield: 3.7% | Net yield: 2.2%
- 5yr price CAGR: -11.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
- Population: 5,912 | Owner-occupier rate: 72% | Affluence: Above Average
- Supply pipeline: Low — Price growth outpacing new supply, limited development pipeline
RENTAL SNAPSHOT
- Vacancy: 3.0% (stable) | Rental demand: Moderate
- Median weekly rent: $720/wk | Days on market: 28 (stable)
- Tenant market — vacancy elevated, negotiate hard on rent.
SHORT-TERM RENTAL
- Median nightly rate: $376/night | Occupancy: 40%
- Estimated annual STR gross: ~$54,860/yr
- vs long-term rent: $37,440/yr (+47% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)
INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS
- No major confirmed infrastructure projects on record.
- Transport: Heritage Park station 17.5km away
BULL CASE
If Alstonville maintains 3%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 2.1%, median prices could reach $1,153,855 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.
BEAR CASE
A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Alstonville pull back 10-15% from $1,003,352, with vacancy rising to 5.0% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.
KEY RISKS
- Distance from CBD may limit long-term capital growth potential
COMPARABLE MARKETS
- Lake Illawarra (NSW): $982,570 median, 3.4% yield, 10.6% 1yr growth
- Kinchela (NSW): $776,000 median, 3.2% yield, -0.5% 1yr growth
- Collombatti (NSW): $800,481 median, 3.1% yield, 11.9% 1yr growth
THE PLAY
Alstonville offers balanced fundamentals but does not present an urgent buying signal. The market is in a recovery phase with moderate vacancy risk. Monitor vacancy trends and price movements over the next 6-12 months. Only enter if a property can be acquired at or below median pricing with yields exceeding 4.2%.
- Entry range: $903,017 – $1,103,687
- Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
- Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market holding under 35
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.
Gentrification Index
Growth Forecast
high confidenceBasis: 5yr CAGR 12.3% + 10yr CAGR 6.8%
- +Active market (28 days avg)
- −High supply pipeline (764 new approvals) — may cap price growth
Suburb Metric Thresholds
Macro Environment
Macro Indicators
Cash Rate
4.35%
▲ 0.25%Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04
Suburb Supply & Demand
Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals
153
2020
205
2021
178
2022
98
2023
130
2025
New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply
Socio-Economic Profile
Source: ABS Census 2021SEIFA Index · Postcode 2477
Decile 6 of 10 — Average
Population
12,899
Education (IEO)
6/10
Econ. Resources (IER)
7/10
10-Year Investment Projection
Modelled on Alstonville NSW data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.
Pre-filled: $720/wk median rent for Alstonville. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.
Schools
In your catchment
These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.
Nearby Suburbs
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Analyse a Property →Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.