Fyshwick ACT Property Investment

Unincorporated ACT · 2609 · Score: 66/100 · Buy

Median House Price
$2.43M
Rental Yield
1.6%
Vacancy Rate
2.0%
Median Weekly Rent
$738/wk
Median Unit Price
$622K
Population
52
Days on Market
35 days
Annual Growth
-3.8%

Fyshwick Short-Term Rental (Airbnb) Market

Avg Nightly Rate
$433.38/night
Occupancy Rate
52%
Est. Annual Revenue
$82K
AI Investment Analysis

Fyshwick ACT Investment Brief

BUY$2,429,265 (pending peer validation) median with 16.9%/yr growth over 5 years.

THE MARKET

Fyshwick has compounded at 16.9%/yr over 5 years. Median sits in the $2,429,265 (pending peer validation) band today. Properties are sitting on market for 35 days (roughly balanced conditions).

  • Median house: $2,429,265 (pending peer validation) | Units: $621,937
  • Gross yield: 1.6% | Net yield: 0.1%
  • 5yr price CAGR: 16.9%/yr | 3yr forecast: 13.5%/yr
  • Population: 52 | Owner-occupier rate: 57% | Affluence: Low
  • Supply pipeline: Moderate — Strong population growth likely attracting new development approvals

RENTAL SNAPSHOT

  • Vacancy: 2.0% (improving) | Rental demand: High
  • Median weekly rent: $738/wk | Days on market: 35 (stable)
  • Balanced market — vacancy manageable but monitor trend.

SHORT-TERM RENTAL

  • Median nightly rate: $433/night | Occupancy: 52%
  • Estimated annual STR gross: ~$82,256/yr
  • vs long-term rent: $38,376/yr (+114% STR premium — factor in higher management costs)

INFRASTRUCTURE & CATALYSTS

  • ACT Light Rail Stage 2A (Under Construction)
  • ACT Light Rail Stage 2B (Woden) (Announced)
  • Transport: Canberra Station station 2.5km away

BULL CASE

If Fyshwick maintains 5%+ annual growth and vacancy stays below 1.4%, median prices could reach $2,793,655 within 3 years with yields compressing slightly as capital values rise.

BEAR CASE

A market correction or interest rate shock could see prices in Fyshwick pull back 10-15% from $2,429,265, with vacancy rising to 3.6% and rental yields softening as tenants gain leverage.

KEY RISKS

  • Premium price point limits buyer pool and increases interest rate sensitivity

COMPARABLE MARKETS

  • O'Connor (ACT): $1,702,443 median, 2.2% yield, 3.9% 1yr growth
  • Reid (ACT): $2,427,007 median, 1.7% yield, 3.1% 1yr growth
  • Manuka (ACT): $2,208,586 median, 5.0% yield, -3.3% 1yr growth

THE PLAY

Fyshwick presents a compelling investment opportunity. The combination of solid fundamentals and high rental demand supports entry at current price levels. Proceed with due diligence on specific properties. Target gross yields above 1.6% and prioritise properties with value-add potential. Consider timing entry around the current boom phase of the market cycle.

  • Entry range: $2,186,338$2,672,192
  • Minimum gross yield to target: 4.5%
  • Watch signal: vacancy dropping below 2% and days on market falling below 35

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Seek professional advice before making investment decisions.

Gentrification Index

Rapidly gentrifying8.5/10
Low socioeconomic base — classic gentrification precondition
Strong capital growth (16.9% CAGR) — above national average
Inner/middle ring location (6.7km to CBD) — high gentrification corridor
Mixed tenure (39% renters) — transitional suburb profile
Active development pipeline (22865 approvals) — supply attracting new residents
Strong public transport infrastructure — supports walkable gentrification

Growth Forecast

high confidence
1yr Forecast
12.6%
p.a.
2yr Forecast
11.6%
p.a.
5yr Forecast
10.1%
p.a.

Basis: 5yr CAGR 16.9% + 10yr CAGR 5.5%

Growth drivers
  • +Strong population growth (5.1%/yr) driving demand
  • +Low rental vacancy (2.0%) — constrained supply
Headwinds
  • High supply pipeline (22865 new approvals) — may cap price growth

Suburb Metric Thresholds

7 green3 yellow6 red
Rental Vacancy Rate
2 high impact
Days on Market
35 high impact
Weekly Rent (house)
738 medium impact
5yr Price CAGR
16.95 high impact
10yr Price CAGR
5.53 high impact
1yr Price Growth
-3.8 medium impact
Population Growth
5.07 high impact
Median Household Income
1116 medium impact
Unemployment Rate
8.2 medium impact
Public Transport Score
7 medium impact
School Zone Quality
7.7 medium impact
Distance to CBD
6.67 medium impact
SEIFA Advantage/Disadvantage
1 medium impact
Owner Occupier Rate
56.6 medium impact
Gross Rental Yield (%)
1.58 high impact
Net Rental Yield (%)
0.08 high impact

Macro Environment

Macro Indicators

Cash Rate

4.35%

0.25%

Cash rate as at 2026-05-06 · Credit data 2026-04

Suburb Supply & Demand

Suburb Supply Pipeline — New Dwelling Approvals

4,928

2020

5,078

2021

6,172

2022

3,856

2023

2,831

2025

New dwelling approvals — higher numbers mean more future supply

Socio-Economic Profile

Source: ABS Census 2021

SEIFA Index · Postcode 2609

Most disadvantagedLeast disadvantaged

Decile 1 of 10 — High disadvantage

Population

1,136

Education (IEO)

2/10

Econ. Resources (IER)

1/10

10-Year Investment Projection

Modelled on Fyshwick ACT data — rent, capital growth, tax, and depreciation over 10 years.

Pre-filled: $738/wk median rent for Fyshwick. Capital growth and rent increase are editable assumptions.

Schools

In your catchment

Red Hill Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.7/10
Forrest Primary School
PrimaryGovernment
8.5/10
Telopea Park School
SecondaryGovernment
9.1/10
Narrabundah College
SecondaryGovernment
8.5/10

These are the government-school zones containing this suburb centroid. Specific addresses within the suburb may fall in different catchments — confirm with the school directly.

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Data sourced from ABS, state government property sales, and Airbnb market analytics. For informational purposes only — not financial advice.